tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3628395291281556778.post7792995422276783158..comments2024-02-16T12:41:32.605-05:00Comments on The Popcorn Trick: Week 11 NFL Picks With Cline -- I Miss Nia PeeplesThe Popcorn Trickhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/00993914659282040271noreply@blogger.comBlogger13125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3628395291281556778.post-65636619378866802292008-11-19T15:26:00.000-05:002008-11-19T15:26:00.000-05:00So after a week of posting the real lines I have n...So after a week of posting the real lines I have not come to any conclusions about the difference it would make in your picks. The idea is that if you have real bookie-made lines, you'll be more likely to have different picks because the lines should roughly warrant 50/50 money on it each way. When you have 3-4 bogus lines that are skewed 3-5 points, you both should be on the side where there is obvious value, regardless of whether that ends up a win or not. For example, if the Eagles were 3 point favorites this past weekend, i'm sure you both would have taken them instead of Cline taking PHI and Goose taking CIN, while in either scenario CIN would cover. The only non-real line was GB/CHI even since there wasn't a line out by wed morning, and both took GB, when real line was 3.5. That may or may not have mattered.<BR/><BR/>Anyway you took 11 same picks, and 5 different ones, which is a little more similarity than i would suspect in randomness, but probably less overlap than one who was obviously aping the picks of the other contestant. I don't know how that compares to other weeks as far as overlap (i've already wasted enough time on this today...), so i'll offer you this weeks lines to keep a control environment for your Cline Conspiracy theory...<BR/><BR/>Thursday 11/20<BR/>CIN @ PITT -10.5<BR/><BR/>Sunday 11/23<BR/>PHI @ BAL -1<BR/>HOU @ CLE -3<BR/>SF @ DAL -10<BR/>TAMPA BAY -9 @ DET <BR/>MIN @ JAX -1<BR/>BUFF -3 @ KC<BR/>New ENG @ MIA -1<BR/>CHI -9 @ STL<BR/>NY Jets @ TENN -5<BR/>OAK @ DEN -9.5<BR/>NY Giants -3 @ ARIZ<BR/>WASH -3.5 @ SEA<BR/>CAR @ ATL -1<BR/>IND @ San Diego -1<BR/>GB @ New Orleans -1<BR/><BR/>Lot of tight lines this week...good luck to you both.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3628395291281556778.post-14701582185731280882008-11-18T22:27:00.000-05:002008-11-18T22:27:00.000-05:00too much? Please, you haven't heard the podcast ye...too much? Please, you haven't heard the podcast yet.Goosehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11186155716832914840noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3628395291281556778.post-67407375578991027762008-11-18T21:07:00.000-05:002008-11-18T21:07:00.000-05:00No, i have zero knowledge of anything of the sort!...No, i have zero knowledge of anything of the sort! I was just pointing out that if an agreement wasn't made ahead of time preventing either of you from peeking at the other's picks and having such peeping tommery guide your own picks, than, sure, it would be douchey, but not technically breaking the rules of the bet. <BR/><BR/>Regarding the uber-candor, I'm realizing it is a distinct side effect from dating Cline. That, and all the itching. <BR/><BR/>What, too much?khophttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07441249032325405590noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3628395291281556778.post-91289231378199369022008-11-18T19:16:00.000-05:002008-11-18T19:16:00.000-05:00So you're definitely saying he did that? Wow, befo...So you're definitely saying he did that? Wow, before I was kidding, but now I appreciate your candidness. Well, some of your candidness.Goosehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11186155716832914840noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3628395291281556778.post-13219726702462701432008-11-18T18:01:00.000-05:002008-11-18T18:01:00.000-05:00To be fair, it's mostly the footboard.To be fair, it's mostly the footboard.Clinehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00931759862754225872noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3628395291281556778.post-89749902072692613062008-11-18T17:54:00.000-05:002008-11-18T17:54:00.000-05:00A. don't misread me, it's not that I'm saying that...A. don't misread me, it's not that I'm saying that he did, in fact, do that. It's just if the loop hole for it wasn't closed, then it's all fair in love and gambling...<BR/><BR/>B. what can i say, he's good in bed.khophttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07441249032325405590noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3628395291281556778.post-38250030735348529652008-11-18T17:13:00.000-05:002008-11-18T17:13:00.000-05:00hmmm...I can't allow that to happen...hmmm...I can't allow that to happen...Goosehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11186155716832914840noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3628395291281556778.post-68816084964793083652008-11-18T17:10:00.000-05:002008-11-18T17:10:00.000-05:00If the upshot of all this is that I never have to ...If the upshot of all this is that I never have to play Apples 2 Apples again because everyone now knows that I cheat, I'm fine saying that I'm a cheater.Clinehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00931759862754225872noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3628395291281556778.post-36154397015032116712008-11-18T16:55:00.000-05:002008-11-18T16:55:00.000-05:00Thank you - you have just confirmed my suspicions....Thank you - you have just confirmed my suspicions. <BR/><BR/>And I can't believe you would take his side. Think about that when you're doing his dishes. And never play Apples 2 Apples with him. Though I have a long list of people not to play Apples 2 Apples with, so that might not mean much.Goosehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11186155716832914840noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3628395291281556778.post-11618502876941226762008-11-18T16:35:00.000-05:002008-11-18T16:35:00.000-05:00ah, well if you guys didn't formalize a process th...ah, well if you guys didn't formalize a process that would prevent that, then you both are on your own.<BR/><BR/>Now then. Resume the hurlting of insults and accusations!khophttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07441249032325405590noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3628395291281556778.post-47377767800378582892008-11-18T15:53:00.000-05:002008-11-18T15:53:00.000-05:00This comment has been removed by the author.Goosehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11186155716832914840noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3628395291281556778.post-32353033712964513452008-11-18T15:45:00.000-05:002008-11-18T15:45:00.000-05:00Sure...as it was easy to cherry pick my picks, thr...Sure...as it was easy to cherry pick my picks, throw a few opposite side ones in games where the line was really close, and still maintain a lead. At least that's theory I'm working on.Goosehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11186155716832914840noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3628395291281556778.post-30410361793151711562008-11-18T15:22:00.000-05:002008-11-18T15:22:00.000-05:00"As for the cheating accusations being rampantly h..."As for the cheating accusations being rampantly hurled my way by Goose, I won't even stoop to his level. I will say that he's a jerk."<BR/><BR/>For the most part, I'm going to stay out of this, especially since I think Cline hustled me a little when proposing an over/under on how many times Madden started a comment with the phrase, "Talk about..." or similar. (He proposed 24.5 for the entire game after going on a 5 minute diatribe that "verbal tic" was a pathetic euphemism for what was probably a mild form of tourette's. Needless to say I picked the over, and not only had to then spend the game counting them, but will be doing dishes next time we eat dinner in, because it didn't even come close. Well played....) HOWever, I can verify that picks were made and in the process of being posted well in advance of the Sunday games beginning that day.khophttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07441249032325405590noreply@blogger.com